Will the tram increase traffic on your street?
Probably not according to Ealing Friends of the Earth
Ealing Friends of the Earth is calling for the Mayor to go ahead with the West London tram scheme after publishing data which they say shows that very few roads will suffer from increased traffic.
They have renamed campaign group Save Ealing's Streets as 'Save 8 Streets' because they say that is the number of roads in the Ealing area which will see an increase in traffic.
The situation is less clear cut in the Acton and North Chiswick area but Friends of the Earth still say that many more roads will see a reduction in traffic or no change compared to those that see an increase. They also say that affected roads can have the effects of increased traffic flow mitigated by traffic calming measures.
They contradict claims that certain roads will be hard hit by increased traffic after the tram. Roads such as Churchfield Road, Bollo Bridge Road, Bollo Lane and The Avenue in Chiswick which are widely predicted to see log-jams of traffic will see no increase or less traffic if the tram is built according to these figures. The information on a road by road basis is detailed in a table below.
Christine Eborall from Ealing Friends of the Earth said: “Save Ealing’s Streets supporters don’t seem to realise that traffic in Ealing is set to keep on growing. Most streets will see more traffic without the tram than with it. With the tram, there will be money to spend on managing traffic in the affected roads. If the tram is stopped, there will be little or no money to manage traffic, so rat-running and congestion will increase. Is that what people really want?”
Will French of Save Ealing's Streets dismissed the validity of the numbers saying, "Figures quoted by FoE are based upon the results of traffic forecasts that are so unreliable that TfL will not discuss, explain or justify them. TfL has removed the forecasts from its website and they form no part of the documents currently being consulted on. No information has been provided about the assumptions that went into the forecasts but it is clear that they are based on TfL's highly questionable theory that traffic in West London will 'evaporate' once the tram has been built."
SES say that only around 6% of car journeys are replaced when new tram schemes are built. If this is the case for the West London Tram it will still mean around 25,000 vehicles a day trying to find a way along the Uxbridge Road corridor. They also point out that the study does not cover most roads in the area and say that the number of adversely affected roads would be considerably larger than stated by FOE. In addition the TfL numbers show a greater number of roads affected by an increase in traffic in off-peak periods.
© Ealing Friends of the Earth, June 2004
Note 1: the roads shown are representative of the immediate area and not necessarily of the individual street.
Note 2: the modelling data shows traffic increases / decreases in ranges; we have taken the mid-point of each and a value of 30 for the 25%+ range
Note 3: roads which are projected to see increases in traffic will have the effects mitigated by traffic management measures
July 16, 2004